TPM wonders
One other point worth making on the Kentucky Senate race. Kentucky remains very red, but the recent polling on a hypothetical match-up between Paul and Conway surprisingly shows Conway very much in this race. The current TPM Poll Average gives Paul a 44.7 to 38.4 lead, but the two most recent polls, taken this month, give Paul only a 1-point lead and 3-point lead:
If people are paying attention, and Conway runs a good race, this seat strikes me as relatively easy flip. Paul said yesterday:
“People are already saying, now you need to weave and dodge,” he said. “Now you need to switch. Now you need to give up your conservative message. You need to become a moderate. You need to give up the Tea Party. You need to distance yourself
First of all, it will be interesting to see exactly what “The Tea Party Message” is that emerges from this campaign. But secondly, Paul should have a lot of, “I can’t believe he really thinks that?!” moments, similar to those that his father had in ’08. What does he think about social security? Defense spending? Paying cops, firefighters, teachers? Will he welcome the support of the GOP establishment?
