Archive for March, 2009

Be Cool

March 26, 2009

There is a growing sense that Barack Obama needs to show righteous indignation of the kind that Jim Cramer, or for that matter, Jon Stewart evince.
Even the normally sober-minded Frank Rich is on board:

The question is not just why the White House was the last to learn about bonuses that Democratic congressmen had sought hearings about back in December, but why it was so slow to realize that the public’s anger couldn’t be sated by Summers’s legalese or by constant reiteration of the word outrage. By the time Obama acted, even the G.O.P. leader Mitch McConnell was ahead of him in full (if hypocritical) fulmination.

It’s odd how much this lien of reasoning mirrors talk during the campaign: From Michelle Cottle:

All of which strikes me as a bit of a problem at this point. While the cool, composed, no-drama demeanor helps Obama appear presidential–and no doubt allays some subliminal white racial anxieties–it also threatens to make him look a bit detached from the many and multiplying crises around him. These are not, to put it mildly, the most soothing of times for Americans. The economy is shaky. Unemployment is up. Growth is down. Oil prices have hit the roof just as home prices have crashed through the floor. Detroit is facing a full-fledged meltdown. We are still embroiled in two wars, neither of which offers much hope for a happy ending. Al Qaeda is running wild in western Pakistan. And now, like some bad acid flashback, Russia is acting like it wants to restart the Cold War.

Confronted by these dramas, Obama offers thoughtful, balanced, pragmatic responses.

It was wrong then and it’s wrong now. Keeping up with the bloviatiors though is actually the worst thing that Obama could do now, even as populism is supposedly on the rise.

The angry mobs have outlets enough. What Obama needs to do is calmly and patiently explain what is happening, why it is happening, and what the administration is doing to right ship.

From the address to Congress:

But I also know that in a time of crisis, we cannot afford to govern out of anger, or yield to the politics of the moment. My job – our job – is to solve the problem. Our job is to govern with a sense of responsibility. I will not spend a single penny for the purpose of rewarding a single Wall Street executive, but I will do whatever it takes to help the small business that can’t pay its workers or the family that has saved and still can’t get a mortgage.

That’s what this is about. It’s not about helping banks – it’s about helping people. Because when credit is available again, that young family can finally buy a new home. And then some company will hire workers to build it. And then those workers will have money to spend, and if they can get a loan too, maybe they’ll finally buy that car, or open their own business. Investors will return to the market, and American families will see their retirement secured once more. Slowly, but surely, confidence will return, and our economy will recover.

Indeed, if Obama can project calm and confidence, markets are likely to recover. If markets recover, those left holding the pitchforks will look kinda silly.

Is the urban president bad for cities?

March 10, 2009

Joel Kotkin, author of The City: A Global History seems to think so:

From New Geography:

More important, Obama’s urban policy also marks a critical shift from the traditional American preference for decentralization of power — including at the city level — to one that embraces ever greater concentration. It could also mark a public embrace of hierarchy every bit as serious — and perhaps less reversible — than has occurred in the relatively unregulated marketplace environment of the past quarter century.

Scary stuff, though what’s meant by “the public embrace of hierarchy” isn’t exactly made clear, or how this embrace would differ from the embrace of hierarchy that led to the current morass.

Kotkin then confuses urban life, with its tolerance of difference, ability to incubate of culture, and be a launching pad of ambition, with the messy morass of Chicago politics.

Chief of staff Rahm Emanuel is a tough-guy player from the variously effective and consistently corrupt Chicago city machine. The members of the Cabinet and top-tier apparatus are longtime residents of such large cities as New York, Los Angeles, San Francisco and Boston and, of course, Chicago.

As the continuing Roland Burris saga reveals, the Chicago connection, in particular, seems likely to wreak continued damage. Chicago’s corruption could run like a sore through this administration, much like Arkansas with the Clintons. But rather than deal with almost laughable hillbillies, we may witness the exposure of some of the toughest, and brazen, baddies in American politics.

Eh, ok. I’m pretty sure I’ve seen dirty politics in rural counties, too—Kotkin does mention a certain couple from Arkansas, but considering that so far both Emanuel’s and Obama’s—and, for that matter, every once else in the administration—hands are clean from this kind of ward boss politics, it’s a little unfair to say that necessarily geography equals destiny.

Kotkin avoids the negative effects of our suburban century—the over-reliance on automobiles, the role the rush to home-ownership played in the our current economic debacle, the devastating effects white flight had on the urban underclass.

And the balance of power in terms of public policy has so far tilted in a rural/suburban direction over the decades, that any course correction by the Obama administration would likely do far too little to reverse the current imbalance.

Reagan Was Right

March 1, 2009

About the central question in voter’s minds when—whenever—they go to the polls.

“Are you better off than you were four years ago.”

Where Reagan was wrong, I think, was in framing the question as a purely economic one, as in, Do you have more money than you did four years ago, and its close corollary, Do you have more money than you did four years because the government has taken less of a share of it?

If you did give away more of your income to the taxman than you did four years ago, but you have health care, or you’re gay and can marry, or you’re less fearful of being unemployed or your kids go to better schools or the streets in your community are safer, than yes, you are better off than you were, and are likely to register that contentment at the polls.

It’s worth bringing up because it’s been lost in a lot of the debate around the stimulus plan and the bank bailout, but in two years or four years most Americans won’t care about the price tag, or the party line vote, or even, I’d say, its contribution to the federal deficit.

What will matter is if it works—puts Americans back to work, let’s them keep their homes, and mitigates the sense of doom everyone is feeling right now.